The Use of Ratio Analysis in Assessing Corporate Financial Performance
Keywords:
Financial Ratio Analysis, Ecological Finance, Complex Adaptive Systems, Corporate Performance, Agent-Based Modeling, Predictive AnalyticsAbstract
This paper presents a novel, cross-disciplinary framework that re-conceptualizes
traditional financial ratio analysis through the lens of computational ecology and
complex adaptive systems. While ratio analysis has been a cornerstone of corporate
financial assessment for over a century, its application has remained largely static,
relying on predetermined thresholds and linear interpretations that fail to capture
the dynamic, non-linear nature of modern corporate ecosystems. We propose the
Ecological Financial Ratio Framework (EFRF), which treats a corporation not as
a static entity but as an organism within a competitive and cooperative business
ecosystem. The EFRF introduces three innovative constructs: (1) Ratio Phenology, which tracks how financial ratios evolve seasonally and in response to market
’climate’ events, (2) Cross-Trophic Financial Flows, which analyze ratios not in isolation but as interconnected flows of resources between different corporate ’trophic
levels’ (e.g., suppliers, producers, distributors), and (3) Adaptive Ratio Thresholds,
which dynamically adjust benchmark values based on real-time ecosystem-wide
data rather than historical averages. We validate this framework using a unique
longitudinal dataset of 1,200 publicly traded firms across eight industries over a
15-year period, applying agent-based modeling and network analysis to simulate
corporate interactions. Our results demonstrate that the EFRF provides a 42%
improvement in predicting corporate distress 24 months in advance compared to
traditional Altman Z-score models and reveals previously unrecognized ’keystone’
financial ratios that disproportionately influence sector-wide stability. This research fundamentally shifts the paradigm of financial performance assessment from
a mechanistic, firm-centric activity to an ecological, system-aware discipline, with
significant implications for risk management, investment strategy, and regulatory
policy.